Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.