The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie B clash between Brescia and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monza 2-1 Brescia
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Pisa | 38 | 13 | 67 |
| 5 | Brescia | 38 | 20 | 66 |
| 6 | Ascoli | 38 | 10 | 65 |
Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Cremonese | 38 | 18 | 69 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 67 |
| 4 | Pisa | 38 | 13 | 67 |
We said: Brescia 1-1 Monza
With only six league losses all season, allied to one of Serie B's best defensive records, Brescia will certainly be no pushovers for ambitious Monza over the coming days. They do, however, have to recover shortly after an extra-time epic to reach this stage, while their opponents were able to rest, so may only manage a first-leg draw at Stadio Rigamonti. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Monza |
43.38% ( 0.35) | 26.86% ( -0.04) | 29.76% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 49.68% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
