| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 5 | -12 | 4 |
| 15 | RKC Waalwijk | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Vitesse | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | SBV Excelsior | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 9 | NEC | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 44.16% ( | 23.72% ( | 32.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( | 40.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( | 63.05% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.28% ( | 18.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.92% ( | 50.07% ( |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( | 24.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.76% ( | 59.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-0 @ 7.75% ( 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.55% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 2-2 @ 6.35% ( 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.72% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.7% Total : 32.12% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 42 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Ajax | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
| 14 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 |
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