| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | NEC | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 11 | RKC Waalwijk | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Cambuur | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 2-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 16.99% ( | 19.67% ( | 63.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.44% ( | 37.56% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.21% ( | 59.79% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( | 35.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.88% ( | 72.12% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.71% ( | 11.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.08% ( | 35.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 1-0 @ 4.15% ( 2-0 @ 2.16% ( 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 3-1 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.99% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.67% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-3 @ 7.18% ( 0-3 @ 6.9% ( 1-4 @ 3.91% ( 0-4 @ 3.77% ( 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 2-4 @ 2.04% ( 1-5 @ 1.71% ( 0-5 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 4.38% Total : 63.34% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 |
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 |
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 |
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 |
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 |
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