MX23RW : Wednesday, May 14 02:33:22| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Ross County
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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 37
May 14, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Kilmarnock logo

Motherwell
vs.
Kilmarnock

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-0 Motherwell
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock

With both teams having secured their Scottish Premiership survival, leaving little left to play for, and considering that three of their last five encounters have ended in draws, we anticipate another stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motherwell win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Kilmarnock has a probability of 29.17% and a draw has a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win is 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.19%).

Result
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
45.17% (0.055 0.05) 25.65% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 29.17% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.06% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (0.036999999999999 0.04)50.65% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)72.56% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (0.040999999999997 0.04)22.39% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (0.061 0.06)55.89% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)31.64% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-0.012 -0.01)68.04% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 45.16%
    Kilmarnock 29.17%
    Draw 25.65%
MotherwellDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 45.16%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.8% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29.17%

Who will win Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Kilmarnock?

Motherwell
Draw
Kilmarnock
Motherwell
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Kilmarnock
25.0%
4
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 32
Kilmarnock
2-0
Motherwell
Murray (22'), Wright (53')
Lyons (16'), Wales (81')

O'Donnell (12'), Thompson (63'), Slattery (71')
Balmer (26')
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Kilmarnock
0-0
Motherwell
Watkins (42')
Halliday (38'), Wilson (71')
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Motherwell
1-1
Kilmarnock
Gordon (17')
Paton (56')
Casey (77')
Polworth (74')
Watson (45'), Armstrong (78'), J (85'), Magennis (90+3')
Aug 18, 2024 2pm
Second Round
Motherwell
1-0
Kilmarnock
(Aggregate 0-0 | Motherwell win 0-0 on penalties)
Ebiye (96')
Casey (48'), Sparrow (105')

Findlay (44'), Lyons (87'), O'Hara (90+5'), Watson (95'), Deas (110')
Findlay (51')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Motherwell
1-1
Kilmarnock
Bair (38')
Butcher (80'), Spittal (85')
Mayo (13')
Wright (36'), Armstrong (48'), Stewart (80'), Findlay (85'), van Veen (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic3210106248288
2RangersRangers312075383771
3Hibernian310258461256
4Aberdeen31024654-853
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd30034250-850
6St Mirren32105056-648
Relegation Group
1Hearts32014946346
2Motherwell32014262-2045
3Kilmarnock33004560-1544
4Dundee31025476-2237
5Ross County30033563-2835
RSt Johnstone31023764-2732
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


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