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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 32
Apr 5, 2025 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Motherwell logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Motherwell

Murray (22', 22', 22'), Wright (53', 53')
Lyons (16'), Lyons (16'), Lyons (16'), Wales (81')
FT(HT: 3-0)

O'Donnell (12'), O'Donnell (12'), O'Donnell (12'), Thompson (63'), Slattery (71')
Balmer (26'), Balmer (26'), Balmer (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 5-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 4-1 Motherwell
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw has a probability of 23.8% and a win for Motherwell has a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Motherwell win it is 0-1 (6.59%).

Result
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
54.22% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)23.84% (0.0010000000000012 0)21.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.92% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)48.86% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.04% (0.010000000000002 0.01)70.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (0.0019999999999953 0)17.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)48.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.47% (0.02 0.02)73.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 54.21%
    Motherwell 21.94%
    Draw 23.83%
KilmarnockDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 11.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.94%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Motherwell

Kilmarnock
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Motherwell
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Kilmarnock
0-0
Motherwell
Watkins (42')
Halliday (38'), Wilson (71')
Dec 20, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Motherwell
1-1
Kilmarnock
Gordon (17')
Paton (56')
Casey (77')
Polworth (74')
Watson (45'), Armstrong (78'), J (85'), Magennis (90+3')
Aug 18, 2024 2pm
Second Round
Motherwell
1-0
Kilmarnock
(Aggregate 0-0 | Motherwell win 0-0 on penalties)
Ebiye (96')
Casey (48'), Sparrow (105')

Findlay (44'), Lyons (87'), O'Hara (90+5'), Watson (95'), Deas (110')
Findlay (51')
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 24
Motherwell
1-1
Kilmarnock
Bair (38')
Butcher (80'), Spittal (85')
Mayo (13')
Wright (36'), Armstrong (48'), Stewart (80'), Findlay (85'), van Veen (90+5')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Kilmarnock
1-0
Motherwell
Cameron (49')
Watson (38'), Lyons (90+5')

Casey (32')