Aberdeen logo
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Dundee logo
Dundee United
Dundee United
Hearts logo
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Kilmarnock logo
Motherwell logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
St Mirren logo
Motherwell logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park
Dundee logo

Motherwell
2 - 1
Dundee

Casey (12', 84')
Halliday (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Murray (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-0 Motherwell
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 3-1 Dundee
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Motherwell in this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawDundee
49.69% (-0.387 -0.39)23.93% (0.164 0.16)26.38% (0.226 0.23)
Both teams to score 56.58% (-0.334 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.94% (-0.541 -0.54)45.06% (0.544 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (-0.521 -0.52)67.41% (0.523 0.52)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.79% (-0.355 -0.36)18.21% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.77% (-0.611 -0.61)49.23% (0.613 0.61)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.108 -0.11)30.82% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.9% (-0.128 -0.13)67.1% (0.13000000000001 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 49.69%
    Dundee 26.38%
    Draw 23.93%
MotherwellDrawDundee
2-1 @ 9.58% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-0 @ 9.56% (0.113 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.14% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 5.44% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.97% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.93%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.038 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 26.38%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Dundee

Motherwell
69.6%
Draw
4.3%
Dundee
26.1%
23
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Dundee
4-1
Motherwell
Adewumi (14'), Tiffoney (60'), Cameron (63', 67')
Koumetio (29'), McGhee (79')
Stamatelopoulos (19')
Seddon (61'), Kettlewell (65'), Miller (78')
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Motherwell
0-1
Dundee
Cameron (38')
Astley (71'), Portales (78')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Dundee
2-3
Motherwell
McGhee (36'), McCowan (70')
Bakayoko (74'), Mellon (82')
Gent (79'), Bair (81'), Ebiye (90+3')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Motherwell
3-3
Dundee
Biereth (6'), Mugabi (68'), Wilkinson (90+7')
Butcher (44'), Casey (49'), Wilkinson (90+5')
Paton (72')
Cameron (30'), Beck (34'), Robinson (88')
Boateng (80'), McCowan (90+7')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Dundee
1-1
Motherwell
Cameron (68')
Bair (45')
Souare (72'), McGinley (79')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic5320112268692
2RangersRangers523080413975
3Hibernian512262501258
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd51044554-953
5Aberdeen51044861-1353
6St Mirren52305359-650
Relegation Group
1Hearts54015247552
2Motherwell53114663-1749
3Kilmarnock53024564-1944
4Dundee52125777-2041
5Ross County50233765-2837
RSt Johnstone51043868-3032
 
First Phase
CCeltic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
RSt Johnstone3385203358-2529


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!