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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Aberdeen logo

Dundee
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Palmer-Houlden (54')
Adewumi (74'), A (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nisbet (29'), Keskinen (52')
Doohan (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.16%) and 0-2 (5.76%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawAberdeen
35.82% (-0.121 -0.12)23.76% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.42% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Both teams to score 62.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15% (-0.135 -0.13)39.85% (0.13399999999999 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79% (-0.14 -0.14)62.21% (0.14 0.14)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (-0.123 -0.12)22.25% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (-0.188 -0.19)55.68% (0.187 0.19)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)20% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.8% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)52.19% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 35.82%
    Aberdeen 40.42%
    Draw 23.76%
DundeeDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.82%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.76% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.09% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 40.42%

How you voted: Dundee vs Aberdeen

Dundee
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Aberdeen
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Aberdeen
4-1
Dundee
Palaversa (53'), Keskinen (57'), Besuijen (72'), Nisbet (90+7')
Devlin (35'), Rubezic (41'), Palaversa (83')
Murray (70')
Astley (11'), Docherty (12')
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
1-2
Aberdeen
Murray (45' pen.)
Nisbet (15'), Keskinen (32')
Molloy (43'), Keskinen (51'), Mitov (90+2')
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 33
Aberdeen
0-0
Dundee
Shinnie (39')
Shinnie (90+6')
Portales (3'), Docherty (4'), Costelloe (15'), McGhee (23')
Mar 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Dundee
1-0
Aberdeen
McCowan (66' pen.)
McCowan (90+6'), Main (90+3')

McGrath (83')
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Aberdeen
1-1
Dundee
Miovski (31' pen.)
McGrath (35'), Jensen (78')
Ashcroft (55')
Dodgson (18'), Boateng (23'), Beck (90')