Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 6

Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Murray (45' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nisbet (15'), Keskinen (32')
Molloy (43'), Keskinen (51'), Mitov (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Aberdeen 4-0 Spartans
Saturday, September 21 at 5.30pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 25.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Aberdeen
25.18% ( 0.28)	24.35% ( 0.14)	50.48% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 54.06% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.14% (

-0.37)

47.86% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.96% (

-0.34)

70.04% (

0.34)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.72% (

0.03)

33.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.11% (

0.04)

69.89% (

-0.04)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.02% (

-0.31)

18.98% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.48% (

-0.51)

50.52% (

0.51)

Score Analysis

Dundee 25.18%

Aberdeen 50.47%

Draw 24.34%

Dundee	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.18%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.34%	0-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 50.47%