Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee1 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
There has been nothing to separate these two teams when they have butted heads in the league this season, but there has been plenty of goalmouth action and another entertaining contest could be in store on Saturday, with both sides sharing the spoils once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
29.86% ( 0.32) | 25.01% ( 0.44) | 45.13% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -1.77) | 47.56% ( 1.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -1.66) | 69.76% ( 1.66) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.68) | 29.56% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.41% ( -0.83) | 65.58% ( 0.83) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -1.06) | 21.11% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.06% ( -1.67) | 53.94% ( 1.67) |
| Score Analysis |
Dundee 29.86%
Kilmarnock 45.13%
Draw 25%
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.33% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.13% |
How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock
Dundee
27.8%Draw
27.8%Kilmarnock
44.4%18
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-2
Dundee
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
