Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Akturkoglu (63')
Otamendi (15'), Luis (60'), Akturkoglu (70'), Kokcu (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Trincao (4')
Hjulmand (19'), Silva (54')
Esgaio (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-2 Benfica
Saturday, May 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 48%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
48% (0.725 0.73)22.89% (0.027999999999999 0.03)29.1% (-0.753 -0.75)
Both teams to score 62.44% (-0.63 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.69% (-0.607 -0.61)38.3% (0.608 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.41% (-0.648 -0.65)60.58% (0.648 0.65)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (0.034999999999997 0.03)16.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (0.064999999999998 0.06)45.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-0.78400000000001 -0.78)25.4% (0.784 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-1.087 -1.09)60.21% (1.086 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 48%
    Sporting Lisbon 29.1%
    Draw 22.89%
BenficaDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.084 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.51% (0.224 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.212 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.12% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.87% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 48%
1-1 @ 10.28% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.4% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-0 @ 4.14% (0.119 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.89%
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.88% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.92% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.1%

How you voted: Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon

Benfica
56.1%
Draw
19.7%
Sporting Lisbon
24.2%
66
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 7.45pm
Final
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Benfica
(Aggregate 1-1 | Benfica win 7-6 on penalties)
Gyokeres (42' pen.)
Araujo (45')
Schjelderup (29')
Fernandez (58')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Benfica
Catamo (29')
Reis (59'), Israel (63')

Otamendi (34'), Bah (58'), Araujo (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 6, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Catamo (1', 90+1')
Catamo (4'), Santos (5'), Hjulmand (27'), Paulinho (90+6')
Bah (45+3')
Otamendi (27'), Neres (39'), Bah (45+1'), Tengstedt (74'), Aursnes (86'), Silva (90+9')
Aursnes (90+8')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Otamendi (52'), Silva (64')
di Maria (45+3'), Schmidt (90+7')
Hjulmand (47'), Paulinho (55')
Inacio (49'), Morita (72'), Israel (77'), Edwards (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 29, 2024 8.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
2-1
Benfica
Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
RSC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
RBoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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