Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estrela Amadora0 - 3Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Famalicao
Saturday, March 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 15 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
70
We said: Estrela Amadora 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
With victory crucial for Sporting to preserve their lead at the top, they should be confident of claiming all three points against an Estrela side struggling for consistency. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.97%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 7.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.71%) and 0-3 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-0 (3.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estrela Amadora | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
7.71% ( -0.05) | 15.32% ( -0.11) | 76.97% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 41.98% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
