Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Campo do Cevadeiro
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Santa Clara 2-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-3 Benfica
Sunday, February 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Casa Pia 1-0 Estrela Amadora
During their eight-match undefeated run on home soil, Casa Pia have either netted three goals — 3-1 wins over Moreirense, Arouca and Benfica — or scored one, as highlighted in 1-1 draws against Vitoria Guimaraes, Farense, AVS and Famalicao, while they secured a 1-0 success over Nacional. Given the precedent and Estrela's miserable productivity on their travels, the hosts should back themselves for a slender victory on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 24.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
47.31% ( -2.4) | 27.96% ( 1.09) | 24.73% ( 1.32) |
| Both teams to score 43.35% ( -1.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
