MX23RW : Sunday, May 18 04:02:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 5, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Gomes
Estoril

Estrela Amadora
2 - 4
Estoril

Luiz (57'), Pinho (70')
Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (48'), Pinho (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Xeka (15'), Begraoui (25'), Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (31' og.), Marques (76')
Marques (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, December 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 2-2 Moreirense
Saturday, December 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Estoril Praia

Estrela have rediscovered their form on home turf, winning four of the last six matches in front of their fans and scoring at least twice in five of those encounters. With the visitors struggling on their travels - failing to score in five of their seven league outings - keeping up with the hosts could prove a daunting task, making a home win the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Estrela AmadoraDrawEstoril Praia
50.12% (0.471 0.47) 24.81% (0.113 0.11) 25.07% (-0.588 -0.59)
Both teams to score 52.49% (-0.91999999999999 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.13% (-0.942 -0.94)49.86% (0.936 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-0.848 -0.85)71.86% (0.84399999999999 0.84)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (-0.182 -0.18)19.91% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.95% (-0.29 -0.29)52.04% (0.287 0.29)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.54% (-0.999 -1)34.45% (0.995 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (-1.078 -1.08)71.16% (1.073 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Estrela Amadora 50.11%
    Estoril Praia 25.07%
    Draw 24.8%
Estrela AmadoraDrawEstoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.93% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.07% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.11%
1-1 @ 11.79% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.257 0.26)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.31% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 25.07%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Estoril

Estrela Amadora
77.3%
Draw
4.5%
Estoril Praia
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 11pm
Feb 4, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 20
Estoril
1-0
Estrela Amadora
Fernandes (57')
Marques (38'), Marques (71'), Ndiaye (75')

Bucca (79'), Sa (85')
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 3
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Estoril
Tavares (47'), Cordeiro (90+10')
Pereira Martins (87')
Marques (67')
Holsgrove (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon34257288276182
2Benfica34255484285680
3Porto34225765303571
4Braga34199655302566
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara34176113632457
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes341412847371054
7FamalicaoFamalicao341211114439547
8Estoril PraiaEstoril341210124853-546
9Casa Pia34129133944-545
10MoreirenseMoreirense341010144250-840
11AroucaArouca34911143549-1438
12Rio AveRio Ave34911143955-1638
13Gil Vicente34810163447-1334
14Nacional3497183250-1834
15Estrela Amadora3478192450-2629
16SC FarenseFarense3469192546-2127
17AVS34512172560-3527
18BoavistaBoavista3466222459-3524


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!