

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 1-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 64.23% ( | 19.19% ( | 16.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.96% ( | 36.04% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.86% ( | 58.13% ( |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.38% ( | 10.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.57% ( | 34.43% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( | 34.9% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.36% ( | 71.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 2-0 @ 9.32% ( 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 3-1 @ 7.33% ( 3-0 @ 6.97% ( 4-1 @ 4.11% ( 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 4-2 @ 2.16% ( 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 5-0 @ 1.75% ( 5-2 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 64.23% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.19% | 1-2 @ 4.6% ( 0-1 @ 3.9% ( 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 1-3 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 16.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
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