We said: FC Utrecht 1-2 Ajax
While Utrecht are enjoying a progressive season, they have been significantly better on the road than at home, with all five of their defeats this term coming here at Stadion Galgenwaard.
Ajax are making it look easy as they close in on the title, currently unbeaten in their last 14 games, including 13 wins, and we feel they will add to to record with another three points in this one.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.