Willem II

1 - 2

Ajax

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 63.28%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 16.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Willem II win it was 2-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.