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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Willem II |
57.97% (![]() | 22.23% (![]() | 19.8% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.29% (![]() | 44.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.93% (![]() | 67.07% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% (![]() | 15.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.28% (![]() | 43.71% (![]() |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.47% (![]() | 36.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.69% (![]() | 73.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Willem II |
1-0 @ 10.43% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.93% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.2% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 57.96% | 1-1 @ 10.51% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.23% | 0-1 @ 5.57% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 1.74% Total : 19.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |