Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 2, 2025 at 7pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II0 - 2AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Willem II
Sunday, January 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, January 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Ferencvaros 4-3 AZ
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Willem II 1-2 AZ Alkmaar
Neither side are in the strongest form ahead of this weekend's clash, and Koning Willem II Stadion is likely to host another close-fought contest. However, having dropped points in three games on the bounce, AZ will be desperate for the win and will likely pick up all three points in a narrow victory on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Willem II | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
25.85% ( 0.14) | 23.51% ( 0.04) | 50.64% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.36% ( -0.06) | 43.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.97% ( -0.06) | 66.03% ( 0.07) |
| Willem II Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.52% ( 0.08) | 30.48% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.3% ( 0.09) | 66.7% ( -0.09) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.68% ( -0.09) | 17.31% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.32% ( -0.16) | 47.68% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
Willem II 25.85%
AZ Alkmaar 50.64%
Draw 23.51%
| Willem II | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 25.85% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.12% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 50.64% |
How you voted: Willem II vs AZ
Willem II
5.0%Draw
30.0%AZ Alkmaar
65.0%20
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
Willem II
2-2
AZ
Dec 18, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
AZ
4-1
Willem II
Apr 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 28
Willem II
0-1
AZ
Dec 20, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
AZ
5-3
Willem II
