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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Peterborough United

Crawley
3 - 4
Peterborough

Quitirna (12'), Kelley (33'), Hepburn-Murphy (49')
Ibrahim (18'), Mullarkey (19'), Quitirna (36'), Adeyemo (89')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Odoh (22', 29', 42'), Jade-Jones (90+7' pen.)
Odoh (44'), Johnston (44'), Collins (45+2'), Steer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-4 Crawley
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Peterborough United

While Crawley have endured a largely miserable campaign, they have been significantly improved since Lindsey's return, and we believe they will continue their momentum with another win against Peterborough United on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawPeterborough United
32.22% (0.562 0.56) 24.33% (0.103 0.1) 43.45% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5% (-0.242 -0.24)43.5% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (-0.238 -0.24)65.89% (0.241 0.24)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.23099999999999 0.23)26.01% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.309 0.31)61.03% (-0.306 -0.31)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.389 -0.39)20.17% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.626 -0.63)52.46% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 32.22%
    Peterborough United 43.45%
    Draw 24.33%
Crawley TownDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.45%

How you voted: Crawley vs Peterborough

Crawley Town
64.3%
Draw
10.7%
Peterborough United
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Peterborough
4-3
Crawley
Jade-Jones (19'), Hayes (23', 61'), Kyprianou (47')
Adeyemo (38'), Swan (52'), Showunmi (55')
Darcy (10'), Mukena (31')
Jan 23, 2024 7.30pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Crawley
Burrows (28'), Mason-Clark (37')
Burrows (83')
Tsaroulla (23')
Kelly (5'), Lolas (88')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Crawley
Washington (2'), Maddison (49')
Bostwick (19'), Zakuani (33'), Maddison (63')

Young (18'), Van Den Bogaert (27'), Harrold (82'), Bradley (89')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Peterborough
4-3
Crawley
Washington (43', 90'), Bostwick (51', 87')
Elliott (29'), Pogba (57'), Simpson (66')
Tomlin (95')
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-4
Peterborough
McLeod (2')
Keane (64'), Harrold (82')
Smith (11'), Burgess (40'), Maddison (55'), Washington (58')
Bostwick (14'), Newell (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833


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