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Crawley Town
League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Peterborough United

Crawley
3 - 4
Peterborough

Quitirna (12'), Kelley (33'), Hepburn-Murphy (49')
Ibrahim (18'), Mullarkey (19'), Quitirna (36'), Adeyemo (89')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Odoh (22', 29', 42'), Jade-Jones (90+7' pen.)
Odoh (44'), Johnston (44'), Collins (45+2'), Steer (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crawley Town and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 0-4 Crawley
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-1 Peterborough
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Peterborough United

While Crawley have endured a largely miserable campaign, they have been significantly improved since Lindsey's return, and we believe they will continue their momentum with another win against Peterborough United on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawPeterborough United
32.22% (0.562 0.56) 24.33% (0.103 0.1) 43.45% (-0.662 -0.66)
Both teams to score 59.07% (-0.102 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.5% (-0.242 -0.24)43.5% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.1% (-0.238 -0.24)65.89% (0.241 0.24)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.99% (0.23099999999999 0.23)26.01% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.97% (0.309 0.31)61.03% (-0.306 -0.31)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.83% (-0.389 -0.39)20.17% (0.389 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.54% (-0.626 -0.63)52.46% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 32.22%
    Peterborough United 43.45%
    Draw 24.33%
Crawley TownDrawPeterborough United
2-1 @ 7.62% (0.089 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.07% (0.121 0.12)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 11.31% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 8.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.72% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.83% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.45%

How you voted: Crawley vs Peterborough

Crawley Town
64.3%
Draw
10.7%
Peterborough United
25.0%
28
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Peterborough
4-3
Crawley
Jade-Jones (19'), Hayes (23', 61'), Kyprianou (47')
Adeyemo (38'), Swan (52'), Showunmi (55')
Darcy (10'), Mukena (31')
Jan 23, 2024 7.30pm
Third Round
Peterborough
2-1
Crawley
Burrows (28'), Mason-Clark (37')
Burrows (83')
Tsaroulla (23')
Kelly (5'), Lolas (88')
Aug 11, 2015 7.45pm
Round One
Peterborough
2-0
Crawley
Washington (2'), Maddison (49')
Bostwick (19'), Zakuani (33'), Maddison (63')

Young (18'), Van Den Bogaert (27'), Harrold (82'), Bradley (89')
Apr 25, 2015 3pm
Peterborough
4-3
Crawley
Washington (43', 90'), Bostwick (51', 87')
Elliott (29'), Pogba (57'), Simpson (66')
Tomlin (95')
Oct 11, 2014 3pm
Crawley
1-4
Peterborough
McLeod (2')
Keane (64'), Harrold (82')
Smith (11'), Burgess (40'), Maddison (55'), Washington (58')
Bostwick (14'), Newell (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham443293803050105
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham451511195258-656
14Stevenage451511194149-856
15Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield44139225371-1848
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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