Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Huddersfield Town would win this match.