Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 9
May 16, 2025 at 6.55pm UK
Stadyen Central'ny

Gomel
2 - 0
Naftan

Cheburakov (9'), Barsukov (48')
Yatskevich (16'), Kukushkin (33'), (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

(64'), (90+5'), Sidor (90+5')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Gomel and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gomel

All competitions
Last Game: Molodechno 0-1 Gomel
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Torpedo-BelAZ
Monday, May 12 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.

Result
GomelDrawNaftan
42.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)27.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.11% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 46.32% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)59.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3% (-0.02 -0.02)79.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Gomel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)27.34% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)62.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)36.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73.03% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Gomel 42.96%
    Naftan 29.1%
    Draw 27.92%
GomelDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 12.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.96%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 10.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.1% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.24%
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 29.1%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 22
Gomel
2-1
Naftan
Antonio Evangelista da Silva Neto (54'), Junior Effaghe (89')
Abdullahi (30'), Rylach (64'), Grishchenko (66')
Grishchenko (90+4')
Suchkov (11')
Kingu (30'), Drabatovich (76')
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 7
Naftan
0-2
Gomel

Dzhioev (72'), Kingu (80')
Junior Effaghe (24', 33')
Zayats (44')
Aug 12, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Gomel
3-2
Naftan
Aleksievich (33'), Yermakovich (85'), Troyakov (90')
Troyakov (45'), Anufriev (57'), Potapenko (90+2')
Davyskiba (1'), Panyukov (48')
Tamelo (10'), Litvinov (63'), Kozlov (80'), Sidor (90+2')
Apr 1, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 2
Naftan
1-1
Gomel
Tamelo (11')
Anufriev (90+3')