Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 6
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadyen Atlant

Naftan
3 - 1
Smorgon

Kingu (9'), Hrudzko (41'), Spanderashvili (64')
Hrudzko (32'), Lebedev (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sodiqov (67')
Sodiqov (70'), Sodiqov (88')
Sodiqov (88')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Naftan and Smorgon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Isloch 3-0 Naftan
Saturday, April 19 at 3.45pm in Belarusian Premier League

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: MKK-Dnepr 3-1 Smorgon
Monday, April 21 at 3.45pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Naftan win with a probability of 41.38%. A win for Smorgon had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Naftan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Smorgon win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Naftan would win this match.

Result
NaftanDrawSmorgon
41.38% (4.25 4.25)27.72% (-0.621 -0.62)30.9% (-3.632 -3.63)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.945 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (1.572 1.57)57.95% (-1.574 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (1.222 1.22)78.65% (-1.223 -1.22)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.44% (3.235 3.24)27.56% (-3.237 -3.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.92% (3.986 3.99)63.08% (-3.987 -3.99)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (-1.712 -1.71)34.17% (1.712 1.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (-1.883 -1.88)70.87% (1.882 1.88)
Score Analysis
    Naftan 41.37%
    Smorgon 30.9%
    Draw 27.71%
NaftanDrawSmorgon
1-0 @ 12.13% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.598 0.6)
2-0 @ 7.82% (0.888 0.89)
3-1 @ 3.61% (0.545 0.55)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.638 0.64)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.214 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.261 0.26)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.281 0.28)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.579 -0.58)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.71%
0-1 @ 10.11% (-1.13 -1.13)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.455 -0.46)
0-2 @ 5.43% (-0.898 -0.9)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.291 -0.29)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.9%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 19
Smorgon
1-0
Naftan
Aziz Toure (27')
Aziz Toure (39'), M'pomezok (80')

Suchkov (10'), Kuchinskiy (30'), Lebedev (81')
Apr 14, 2024 12pm
Gameweek 4
Naftan
1-1
Smorgon
Marukhin (63')
Suchkov (31'), Kharitonovich (90+5')
Shubovich (90+5')
Kopytich (90+5')
Sep 24, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Naftan
2-2
Smorgon
Panyukov (16'), Slepov (38')
Sidor (22'), Bruy (60')
Bruy (90+3')
Kopytich (59'), Dukso (90+5')
Aliu (30'), Nuradin (72'), Camara (89')
May 7, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 7
Smorgon
1-0
Naftan
Nuradin (77')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MKK-Dnepr119202161529
2Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr117221911823
3Dinamo Minsk107211610623
4IslochIsloch1156023101321
5Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest1163222111121
6Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ11452117417
7FC MinskFC Minsk115241620-417
8Neman10505138515
9Gomel1143486215
10Vitebsk114251915414
11BATE BorisovBATE114251314-114
12Naftan113171021-1110
13Arsenal Dzerzhinsk111641218-69
14SlutskSlutsk11227817-98
15Smorgon11128619-135
16FC MolodechnoMolodechno110011529-240
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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