Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 56.45%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 22.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.39%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.