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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2025 at 4pm UK
St. James' Park
Everton logo

Newcastle
0 - 1
Everton


Schar (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alcaraz (65')
Gueye (24'), Young (77'), Mykolenko (81'), Garner (83')

The Match

Match Report

Newcastle United qualify for the 2025-26 Champions League despite suffering a 1-0 defeat to Everton in their final match of the Premier League season.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Everton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Newcastle United could line up in their Premier League finale against Everton at St James' Park on Sunday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle
Sunday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 18 at 12pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 66.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
66.72% (-6.494 -6.49)18.86% (2.772 2.77)14.41% (3.722 3.72)
Both teams to score 53.9% (1.651 1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.95% (-3.675 -3.68)39.04% (3.674 3.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.63% (-3.967 -3.97)61.37% (3.965 3.97)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16% (-2.504 -2.5)10.84% (2.5021 2.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.07% (-5.874 -5.87)34.92% (5.872 5.87)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.46% (3.451 3.45)39.54% (-3.451 -3.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (3.053 3.05)76.23% (-3.054 -3.05)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 66.72%
    Everton 14.41%
    Draw 18.86%
Newcastle UnitedDrawEverton
2-0 @ 10.58% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.479 0.48)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.618 0.62)
3-0 @ 7.84% (-1.324 -1.32)
3-1 @ 7.27% (-0.462 -0.46)
4-0 @ 4.35% (-1.336 -1.34)
4-1 @ 4.04% (-0.763 -0.76)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.109 0.11)
5-0 @ 1.94% (-0.893 -0.89)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.153 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.592 -0.59)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.72%
1-1 @ 8.84% (1.318 1.32)
2-2 @ 4.55% (0.613 0.61)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.701 0.7)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.125 0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.86%
1-2 @ 4.1% (0.926 0.93)
0-1 @ 3.98% (0.951 0.95)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.568 0.57)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.299 0.3)
1-3 @ 1.27% (0.375 0.38)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 14.41%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Everton

Newcastle United
83.1%
Draw
11.8%
Everton
5.1%
136
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Everton
0-0
Newcastle
McNeil (44')
Hall (84'), Schar (90+3')
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
Newcastle
1-1
Everton
Isak (15')
Calvert-Lewin (88' pen.)
Tarkowski (81'), McNeil (90+8'), Chermiti (90+8')
Dec 7, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Everton
3-0
Newcastle
McNeil (79'), Doucoure (86'), Beto (90+6')
Gueye (35'), Calvert-Lewin (83'), Beto (87'), Dyche (90+2')
Apr 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Everton
1-4
Newcastle
McNeil (80')
Wilson (28', 75'), Joelinton (72'), Murphy (81')
Oct 19, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Newcastle
1-0
Everton
Almiron (31')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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