Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Southampton |
51.65% (![]() | 22.96% (![]() | 25.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.91% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.47% (![]() | 41.53% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.07% (![]() | 63.93% (![]() |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% (![]() | 16.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.37% (![]() | 45.63% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% (![]() | 29.73% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.21% (![]() | 65.79% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.76% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 3.46% Total : 51.65% | 1-1 @ 10.62% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.81% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 6.44% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.54% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.43% ( ![]() Other @ 3.17% Total : 25.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Liverpool | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 20 | 14 | 4 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 74 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 72 | 44 | 28 | 71 |
4 | Chelsea | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 69 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 66 |
6 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 66 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 65 |
8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 61 |
9 | Bournemouth | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 56 |
10 | Brentford | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 66 | 57 | 9 | 56 |
11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 54 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 51 | 0 | 53 |
13 | Everton | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 48 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 43 |
15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 54 | -10 | 42 |
16 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 42 |
17 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 38 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 25 |
R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 82 | -46 | 22 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 86 | -60 | 12 |
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