Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Everton win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Southampton has a probability of 30.03% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Southampton win is 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.76%).