Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.