Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.67%) and 0-2 (5.13%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.