Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.