Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.