MX23RW : Monday, April 28 01:58:41| >> :120:22018:22018:
Exeter City
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
St James Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Magennis (5', 50')
McMillan (38'), Yogane (115')
Turns (87')
FT
(aet)
Sosa (15'), Awoniyi (37')
Williams (105+1'), Williams (115')
Nott'm Forest win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We say: Exeter City 0-2 Nottingham Forest

Even without the likes of Wood and Hudson-Odoi, it is difficult to see Exeter posing much of a challenge to Nottingham Forest's exceptional defence. Additionally, the hosts have been frail at the back in recent weeks, and they are unlikely to get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
32.18% (1.86 1.86) 24.72% (0.651 0.65) 43.1% (-2.508 -2.51)
Both teams to score 57.7% (-1.348 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-2.166 -2.17)45.29% (2.169 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-2.107 -2.11)67.63% (2.11 2.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.124 0.12)26.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (0.164 0.16)62.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-1.981 -1.98)21.07% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-3.182 -3.18)53.89% (3.184 3.18)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 32.18%
    Nottingham Forest 43.1%
    Draw 24.72%
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.296 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.693 0.69)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.471 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.51 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.425 -0.43)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Nott'm Forest

Exeter City
17.1%
Draw
6.6%
Nottingham Forest
76.3%
76
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool34257280324882
2Arsenal341813363293467
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341951065442162
4Manchester CityMan City34187966432361
5Chelsea34179859401960
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest33186953391460
7Aston Villa3416995449557
8Fulham34149115046451
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton34131295655151
10Bournemouth3413111053411250
11Brentford33137135650646
12Crystal Palace341112114347-445
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34125175161-1041
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd34109153947-839
15Everton34814123441-738
16Tottenham HotspurSpurs34114196256637
17West Ham UnitedWest Ham3499163958-1936
18Ipswich TownIpswich3449213374-4121
19Leicester CityLeicester3446242776-4918
20Southampton3425272580-5511


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