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FA Cup

Exeter City
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
St James Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Magennis (5', 50')
McMillan (38'), Yogane (115')
FT
(aet)
Sosa (15'), Awoniyi (37')
Williams (105+1'), Williams (115')
Nott'm Forest win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League One

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
32.18% (1.86 1.86)24.72% (0.651 0.65)43.1% (-2.508 -2.51)
Both teams to score 57.7% (-1.348 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-2.166 -2.17)45.29% (2.169 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-2.107 -2.11)67.63% (2.11 2.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.124 0.12)26.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (0.164 0.16)62.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-1.981 -1.98)21.07% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-3.182 -3.18)53.89% (3.184 3.18)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 32.18%
    Nottingham Forest 43.1%
    Draw 24.72%
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.296 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.693 0.69)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.471 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.51 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.425 -0.43)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Nott'm Forest

Exeter City
17.1%
Draw
6.6%
Nottingham Forest
76.3%
76
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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