MX23RW : Monday, May 19 00:13:01| >> :120:45064:45064:
Exeter City
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
St James Park
Nottingham Forest logo

Exeter
2 - 2
Nott'm Forest

Magennis (5', 50')
McMillan (38'), Yogane (115')
Turns (87')
FT
(aet)
Sosa (15'), Awoniyi (37')
Williams (105+1'), Williams (115')
Nott'm Forest win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Nottingham Forest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 4-1 Exeter
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 7-0 Brighton
Saturday, February 1 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We say: Exeter City 0-2 Nottingham Forest

Even without the likes of Wood and Hudson-Odoi, it is difficult to see Exeter posing much of a challenge to Nottingham Forest's exceptional defence. Additionally, the hosts have been frail at the back in recent weeks, and they are unlikely to get back into the game should they concede first. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
32.18% (1.86 1.86) 24.72% (0.651 0.65) 43.1% (-2.508 -2.51)
Both teams to score 57.7% (-1.348 -1.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (-2.166 -2.17)45.29% (2.169 2.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (-2.107 -2.11)67.63% (2.11 2.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.1% (0.124 0.12)26.9% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.78% (0.164 0.16)62.22% (-0.161 -0.16)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.93% (-1.981 -1.98)21.07% (1.983 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (-3.182 -3.18)53.89% (3.184 3.18)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 32.18%
    Nottingham Forest 43.1%
    Draw 24.72%
Exeter CityDrawNottingham Forest
2-1 @ 7.61% (0.296 0.3)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.693 0.69)
2-0 @ 4.89% (0.471 0.47)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.213 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 32.18%
1-1 @ 11.59% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.51 0.51)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.72%
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-1 @ 8.83% (0.284 0.28)
0-2 @ 6.87% (-0.201 -0.2)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.425 -0.43)
0-3 @ 3.57% (-0.337 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.292 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.1%

How you voted: Exeter vs Nott'm Forest

Exeter City
17.1%
Draw
6.6%
Nottingham Forest
76.3%
76
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool36258383374683
2Arsenal371914467333471
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle372061168462266
4Chelsea37199963432066
5Aston Villa3719995849966
6Manchester CityMan City36198967432465
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest371981058451365
8Brentford37167146556955
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton36141395956355
10Fulham37159135452254
11Bournemouth3614111155431253
12Crystal Palace361213114648-249
13Everton371015124144-345
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36125195164-1341
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham371010174361-1840
16Manchester UnitedMan Utd37109184254-1239
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs37115216361238
RLeicester CityLeicester3767243378-4525
RIpswich TownIpswich37410233579-4422
RSouthampton3726292584-5912


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