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FA Cup

Exeter City
FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Chesterfield

Exeter
2 - 0
Chesterfield

Crama (45+2'), Magennis (69')
Woods (47'), Francis (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Oldaker (48'), Cook (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Birmingham
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

Chesterfield

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawChesterfield
39.03% (-0.165 -0.16)24.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02)36.71% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.49% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)42.12% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)64.52% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)21.63% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24% (-0.176 -0.18)54.75% (0.17 0.17)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.19% (0.039000000000001 0.04)22.81% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.48% (0.060000000000002 0.06)56.52% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 39.03%
    Chesterfield 36.71%
    Draw 24.24%
Exeter CityDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 8.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.55% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 39.03%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.25% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.29% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.39% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.07% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.71%

How you voted: Exeter vs Chesterfield

Exeter City
35.3%
Draw
29.4%
Chesterfield
35.3%
17
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2018 7.45pm
Exeter
2-1
Chesterfield
Stockley (39'), Whitmore (74' og.)
Taylor (27')
Kellett (83')
Rowley (90')
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Chesterfield
1-0
Exeter
Dennis (50')
Barry (61'), Wiseman (90')
Wiseman (90')
Apr 18, 2014 3pm
Chesterfield
1-1
Exeter
Doyle (78' pen.)
Evatt (59')
Morsy (75')
Grimes (18')
Sercombe (79')
Dec 20, 2013 7.45pm
Exeter
0-2
Chesterfield

Butterfield (90')
Banks (47'), Richards (70')
Gnanduillet (90')
> Match Report
Apr 27, 2013 3pm
Chesterfield
4-0
Exeter
O'Shea (22'), Richards (30'), Lester (34' pen., 59')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLiverpool38259486414584
2Arsenal382014469343574
3Manchester CityMan City38218972442871
4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest381981158461265
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
9Bournemouth3815111258461256
10Brentford38168146657956
11Fulham38159145454054
12Crystal Palace381314115151053
13Everton381115124244-248
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham381110174662-1643
15Manchester UnitedMan Utd38119184454-1042
16Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38126205469-1542
17Tottenham HotspurSpurs38115226465-138
RLeicester CityLeicester3867253380-4725
RIpswich TownIpswich38410243682-4622
RSouthampton3826302686-6012
> Premier League Full Table


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