FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 2, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
5 - 3
Barnet

Magennis (13', 76' pen., 85' pen.), Bird (90+6'), Doyle (90+11')
Woods (49')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Glover (39'), Brunt (59'), Kabamba (78')
Kanu (67'), Coker (85'), Glover (85'), Hobson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Exeter City and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-3 Exeter
Tuesday, October 29 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Barnet
46.83% ( -0.01)	24.13% ( 0)	29.03% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.99% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.85% (

-0.01)

44.15% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.47% (

-0.01)

66.53% (

0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81% (

-0.01)

19% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.45% (

-0.01)

50.55% (

0.01)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.59% (

-0)

28.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.84% (

-0.01)

64.16% (

Score Analysis

Exeter City 46.83%

Barnet 29.03%

Draw 24.14%

Exeter City	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 9.37% 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.83%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 7.1% 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.79% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.03%