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Championship header 2

League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Cambridge United

Exeter
1 - 0
Cambridge

Woods (23')
Yfeko (45+2'), Woods (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Loft (19'), Monk (20'), Andrew (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

Cambridge United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Rotherham
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Cambridge United

 Neither side scores many goals, but Exeter are full of confidence at the moment - and that is in short supply as far as Cambridge are concerned. A home win is by far the most likely outcome, with the visitors left to contemplate at least another two weeks in last place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Exeter City.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
60.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 17.09% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 48.61% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (0.11199999999999 0.11)49.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (0.102 0.1)71.28% (-0.101 -0.1)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.046999999999997 0.05)15.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (0.084000000000003 0.08)44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.74% (0.071000000000005 0.07)42.26% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)78.66% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 60.57%
    Cambridge United 17.09%
    Draw 22.33%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.02% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.22% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.78% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 60.57%
1-1 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 22.33%
0-1 @ 5.76% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.57% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.09%

How you voted: Exeter vs Cambridge

Exeter City
93.8%
Draw
6.3%
Cambridge United
0.0%
16
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Exeter
0-0
Cambridge
Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')
> Preview
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Cambridge
2-0
Exeter
Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')
> Preview
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Exeter
2-0
Cambridge
Collins (18'), McDonald (53')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
Smith (60'), Digby (88')
Digby (29'), Dunk (44'), Lankester (90+6')
Brown (39')
Sweeney (45+1'), Coley (86')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Cambridge
2-1
Exeter
May (23'), Knibbs (88')
Okedina (9')
Nombe (10' pen.)
Caprice (60'), Ray (82'), Dawson (88'), Collins (90+8')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBirmingham CityBirmingham463493843153111
3Stockport CountyStockport462512972423087
4Charlton AthleticCharlton4625101167432485
5Wycombe WanderersWycombe4624121070452584
6Leyton Orient462461672482478
7Reading4621121368571175
8Bolton WanderersBolton46208186770-368
9Blackpool4617161372601267
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46197205855364
11Lincoln CityLincoln461613176456861
12Barnsley461710196973-461
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham461611195459-559
14Stevenage461512194250-857
15Wigan AthleticWigan461317164042-256
16Exeter CityExeter461511204965-1656
17Mansfield TownMansfield46159226073-1354
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough461312216881-1351
19Northampton TownNorthampton461215194866-1851
20Burton Albion461114214966-1747
RCrawley TownCrawley461210245783-2646
RBristol Rovers46127274476-3243
RCambridge UnitedCambridge46911264573-2838
RShrewsbury TownShrewsbury4689294179-3833
> League One Full Table


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