Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
44.98% (![]() | 25.42% (![]() | 29.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% (![]() | 49.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% (![]() | 71.48% (![]() |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.04% (![]() | 21.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.75% (![]() | 55.25% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.29% (![]() | 30.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.04% (![]() | 66.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 10.22% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.15% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.75% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.48% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.98% | 1-1 @ 12.06% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.13% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |