

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 50.94% ( | 22.66% ( | 26.4% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.8% ( | 39.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.47% ( | 61.53% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( | 15.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.47% ( | 44.53% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( | 27.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.7% ( | 63.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-0 @ 4.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0-2 @ 3.55% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 1-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.4% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 |
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 |
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 |
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 |
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
