Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 19.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 58.7% (  1.31) | 21.59% (  -0.05) | 19.71% (  -1.26) | 
| Both teams to score 55.9% (  -1.9) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 58.06% (  -1.55) | 41.94% (  1.55) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.65% (  -1.57) | 64.35% (  1.58) | 
| Vitesse Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.02% (  -0.1) | 13.98% (  0.1) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.51% (  -0.2) | 41.49% (  0.2) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 64.98% (  -2.13) | 35.02% (  2.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.24% (  -2.3) | 71.76% (  2.31) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Vitesse | Draw | Heerenveen | 
| 2-1 @ 9.94% (  0.04) 1-0 @ 9.63% (  0.62) 2-0 @ 9.48% (  0.58) 3-1 @ 6.52% (  0) 3-0 @ 6.22% (  0.36) 3-2 @ 3.42% (  -0.2) 4-1 @ 3.21% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.06% (  0.16) 4-2 @ 1.68% (  -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.26% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% (  0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 58.7% | 1-1 @ 10.1% (  0.08) 2-2 @ 5.22% (  -0.29) 0-0 @ 4.9% (  0.33) 3-3 @ 1.2% (  -0.15) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.58% | 1-2 @ 5.3% (  -0.27) 0-1 @ 5.14% (  0.06) 0-2 @ 2.7% (  -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.86% (  -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.83% (  -0.22) 0-3 @ 0.94% (  -0.1) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.71% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 50 | 16 | 34 | 39 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 28 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 23 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 22 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 | 
| 12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 | 
| 13 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 18 | 
| 14 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 | 
| 17 | Vitesse | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 | 
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 11 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
