Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 70.38% ( | 16.67% ( | 12.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.26% ( | 31.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.74% ( | 53.25% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.94% ( | 8.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 71.66% ( | 28.33% ( |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.19% ( | 36.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.4% ( | 73.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-0 @ 9.4% ( 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 3-0 @ 7.9% ( 3-1 @ 7.89% ( 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 4-0 @ 4.98% ( 4-1 @ 4.97% ( 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 5-0 @ 2.51% ( 5-1 @ 2.51% ( 4-2 @ 2.49% ( 5-2 @ 1.25% ( 6-0 @ 1.05% ( 6-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 3.57% Total : 70.38% | 1-1 @ 7.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 16.67% | 1-2 @ 3.73% ( 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0-2 @ 1.48% ( 1-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.97% Total : 12.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
