Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 44.62% (  0.15) | 25.29% (  0.17) | 30.09% (  -0.32) | 
| Both teams to score 54.75% (  -0.74) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.31% (  -0.89) | 48.69% (  0.89) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.2% (  -0.81) | 70.8% (  0.81) | 
| Heerenveen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.19% (  -0.31) | 21.81% (  0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.97% (  -0.47) | 55.02% (  0.46) | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.02% (  -0.67) | 29.98% (  0.67) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.9% (  -0.82) | 66.09% (  0.82) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Heerenveen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam | 
| 1-0 @ 9.96% (  0.27) 2-1 @ 9.13% (  -0) 2-0 @ 7.58% (  0.14) 3-1 @ 4.64% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.85% (  0.03) 3-2 @ 2.79% (  -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.77% (  -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.06% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 11.99% (  0.11) 0-0 @ 6.54% (  0.24) 2-2 @ 5.5% (  -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.88% (  0.14) 1-2 @ 7.23% (  -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.75% (  -0) 1-3 @ 2.9% (  -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.21% (  -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.91% (  -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.09% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 | 
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
