MX23RW : Monday, April 28 16:15:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 13, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
2 - 0
San Martin SJ

Avalos (69', 82')
Marcone (33')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Portillo (11'), Adrian Toloza (37')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and San Martin de San Juan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: San Martin SJ 0-1 San Lorenzo
Saturday, April 5 at 2am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 70.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for San Martin de San Juan had a probability of 8.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.18%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.4%), while for a San Martin de San Juan win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawSan Martin de San Juan
70.97% (0.034999999999997 0.03) 20.7% (0.02 0.02) 8.33% (-0.055100000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 30.11% (-0.216 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41% (-0.186 -0.19)60.6% (0.185 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (-0.14 -0.14)80.69% (0.14099999999999 0.14)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)16.25% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.23% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)45.77% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
San Martin de San Juan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.95% (-0.235 -0.23)64.06% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.41% (-0.1061 -0.11)92.59% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 70.97%
    San Martin de San Juan 8.33%
    Draw 20.69%
IndependienteDrawSan Martin de San Juan
1-0 @ 18.91% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 17.18% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
3-0 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.65% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 70.97%
0-0 @ 10.4% (0.07 0.07)
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 1.71% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.69%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 1.88% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 8.33%

Head to Head
Feb 17, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 19
San Martin SJ
1-1
Independiente
Osorio (81')
Gelabert (45'), Mattia (45'), Erpen (49')
Dominguez (45')
Burdisso (68'), Bustos (74')
Perez (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!