Rubin Kazan

4 - 2

Orenburg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rubin Kazan would win this match.