Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Club America.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: America 0-0 Toluca
Friday, May 23 at 3am in Liga MX
Friday, May 23 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-0 Toluca
Friday, May 23 at 3am in Liga MX
Friday, May 23 at 3am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
28
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Club America had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Club America |
46.77% ( -0.03) | 24.89% ( 0.18) | 28.34% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
