MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 02:41:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2025 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
2 - 1
Monterrey

Vega (30')
Barbosa (12'), Paulinho (45+1')
Helinho (21'), Briseno (32')
LIVE
69'
de la Rosa (48')
Chavez (19'), Medina (41'), de la Rosa (48')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 3-2 Toluca
Thursday, May 8 at 2am in Liga MX

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 3-2 Toluca
Thursday, May 8 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toluca win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Monterrey has a probability of 27.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Monterrey win is 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
TolucaDrawMonterrey
48.27% (-0.818 -0.82) 23.76% (0.293 0.29) 27.96% (0.519 0.52)
Both teams to score 58.5% (-0.605 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88% (-0.982 -0.98)43.12% (0.976 0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48% (-0.978 -0.98)65.52% (0.97200000000001 0.97)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)18.02% (0.687 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (-1.194 -1.19)48.89% (1.188 1.19)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (-0.137 -0.14)28.63% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (-0.167 -0.17)64.44% (0.16000000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 48.27%
    Monterrey 27.96%
    Draw 23.75%
TolucaDrawMonterrey
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.183 0.18)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.33% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.107 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.27%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.219 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.75%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 6.45% (0.251 0.25)
0-2 @ 4.04% (0.144 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.9% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 27.96%

Head to Head
May 8, 2025 2am
Monterrey
3-2
Toluca
Deossa (44'), Canales (50'), Berterame (69')
Deossa (56'), Jareth Fimbres Ochoa (82')
Guzman (17' og.), Garcia (82')
Ruiz (56'), Paulinho (90+3'), Paulinho (90+3')
Jan 19, 2025 1am
Gameweek 2
Toluca
1-1
Monterrey
Helinho (11')
Barbosa (83')
Canales (47')
Moreno (66')
Sep 1, 2024 2am
Gameweek 6
Monterrey
1-2
Toluca
Vazquez (54' pen.)
Medina (90+8'), Berterame (90+11')
Gallardo (6'), Violante (87')
Ruiz (59'), Baeza (80'), Volpi (90+11')
Sep 1, 2024 2am
Gameweek 6
Monterrey
1-2
Toluca
Vazquez (54' pen.)
Medina (90+8'), Berterame (90+11')
Gallardo (6'), Violante (87')
Ruiz (59'), Baeza (80'), Volpi (90+11')
Feb 19, 2024 2.10am
Gameweek 7
Monterrey
0-0
Toluca
Garcia (71'), Baeza (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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