Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 7, 2025 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca2 - 1Santos Laguna
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Santos Laguna.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 3-2 Pachuca
Saturday, March 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Saturday, March 29 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 2-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, March 31 at 12am in Liga MX
Monday, March 31 at 12am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 78.55%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 8.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.22%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-2 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Santos Laguna |
78.55% ( 1.46) | 13.42% ( -0.51) | 8.02% ( -0.96) |
| Both teams to score 51.35% ( -2.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
