Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 15.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Santos Laguna win it was 1-0 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.