Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Feb 22, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Toluca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tijuana 1-2 Juarez
Saturday, February 15 at 3am in Liga MX
Saturday, February 15 at 3am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Toluca 2-1 Guadalajara
Sunday, February 16 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Sunday, February 16 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 51.84%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 24.16% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result | ||
Juarez | Draw | Toluca |
24.16% (![]() | 23.99% (![]() | 51.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.13% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% (![]() | 47.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% (![]() | 69.48% (![]() |
Juarez Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% (![]() | 33.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% (![]() | 70.48% (![]() |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.78% (![]() | 18.22% (![]() |