

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.64%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.9%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Braga.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
| 16.56% ( | 22.8% ( | 60.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.13% ( | 51.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( | 73.62% ( |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.5% ( | 44.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.47% ( | 80.53% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( | 16.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.39% ( | 46.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-1 @ 4.36% ( 2-0 @ 2.44% ( 3-1 @ 1.18% ( 3-2 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.51% Total : 16.56% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.8% | 0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0-2 @ 11.9% ( 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0-3 @ 7.1% ( 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0-4 @ 3.18% ( 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0-5 @ 1.14% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 1-5 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.78% Total : 60.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
| 4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 41 | 49 | -8 | 42 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
| 13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
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