Primeira Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 0Nacional
We said: Braga 2-0 Nacional
Braga enter this encounter as clear favourites, given their head-to-head record and current form, while Nacional's away struggles make a home win the obvious pick. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 77.78%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 7.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.61%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.74%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (2.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Nacional |
77.78% ( 0.05) | 14.24% ( -0.02) | 7.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.47% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
