Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
38.03% (![]() | 27.73% (![]() | 34.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.69% (![]() | 57.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.85% (![]() | 78.15% (![]() |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.84% (![]() | 29.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.91% (![]() | 65.09% (![]() |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.48% (![]() | 31.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.08% (![]() | 67.92% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | SC Farense |
1-0 @ 11.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.06% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 2.56% Total : 38.02% | 1-1 @ 13.07% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.19% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 10.61% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.79% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |