Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Apr 2, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Benfica3 - 2Farense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-3 Benfica
Friday, March 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, March 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
62
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Braga
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Benfica 3-0 SC Farense
Benfica are overwhelming favourites for this clash, given their blistering form and dominance in this fixture, while Farense's struggles on the road against the league's top sides only reinforce the expectation of a commanding victory for the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 82.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 5.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.47%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.6%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (1.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | SC Farense |
82.18% ( -0.5) | 11.85% ( 0.3) | 5.97% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 45.85% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
